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Article: Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves

TitleGlobal COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves
Authors
Keywordsclimate
human behavior
disease transmission
hierarchical intervention network
international collaboration
Issue Date2020
PublisherNational Academy of Sciences. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.pnas.org
Citation
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2020, v. 117 n. 42, p. 26151-26157 How to Cite?
AbstractEmerging evidence suggests a resurgence of COVID-19 in the coming years. It is thus critical to optimize emergency response planning from a broad, integrated perspective. We developed a mathematical model incorporating climate-driven variation in community transmissions and movement-modulated spatial diffusions of COVID-19 into various intervention scenarios. We find that an intensive 8-wk intervention targeting the reduction of local transmissibility and international travel is efficient and effective. Practically, we suggest a tiered implementation of this strategy where interventions are first implemented at locations in what we call the Global Intervention Hub, followed by timely interventions in secondary high-risk locations. We argue that thinking globally, categorizing locations in a hub-and-spoke intervention network, and acting locally, applying interventions at high-risk areas, is a functional strategy to avert the tremendous burden that would otherwise be placed on public health and society.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/291075
ISSN
2019 Impact Factor: 9.412
2015 SCImago Journal Rankings: 6.883
PubMed Central ID
ISI Accession Number ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorLi, R-
dc.contributor.authorChen, B-
dc.contributor.authorZhang, T-
dc.contributor.authorRen, Z-
dc.contributor.authorSong, Y-
dc.contributor.authorXiao, Y-
dc.contributor.authorHou, L-
dc.contributor.authorCai, J-
dc.contributor.authorXu, B-
dc.contributor.authorLi, M-
dc.contributor.authorChan, KKY-
dc.contributor.authorTu, Y-
dc.contributor.authorYang, M-
dc.contributor.authorYang, J-
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Z-
dc.contributor.authorShen, C-
dc.contributor.authorWang, C-
dc.contributor.authorXu, L-
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Q-
dc.contributor.authorBao, S-
dc.contributor.authorZhang, J-
dc.contributor.authorBi, Y-
dc.contributor.authorBai, Y-
dc.contributor.authorDeng, K-
dc.contributor.authorZhang, W-
dc.contributor.authorHuang, W-
dc.contributor.authorWhittington, JD-
dc.contributor.authorStenseth, NC-
dc.contributor.authorGuan, D-
dc.contributor.authorGong, P-
dc.contributor.authorXu, B-
dc.date.accessioned2020-11-02T05:51:12Z-
dc.date.available2020-11-02T05:51:12Z-
dc.date.issued2020-
dc.identifier.citationProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2020, v. 117 n. 42, p. 26151-26157-
dc.identifier.issn0027-8424-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/291075-
dc.description.abstractEmerging evidence suggests a resurgence of COVID-19 in the coming years. It is thus critical to optimize emergency response planning from a broad, integrated perspective. We developed a mathematical model incorporating climate-driven variation in community transmissions and movement-modulated spatial diffusions of COVID-19 into various intervention scenarios. We find that an intensive 8-wk intervention targeting the reduction of local transmissibility and international travel is efficient and effective. Practically, we suggest a tiered implementation of this strategy where interventions are first implemented at locations in what we call the Global Intervention Hub, followed by timely interventions in secondary high-risk locations. We argue that thinking globally, categorizing locations in a hub-and-spoke intervention network, and acting locally, applying interventions at high-risk areas, is a functional strategy to avert the tremendous burden that would otherwise be placed on public health and society.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherNational Academy of Sciences. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.pnas.org-
dc.relation.ispartofProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences-
dc.rightsThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.-
dc.subjectclimate-
dc.subjecthuman behavior-
dc.subjectdisease transmission-
dc.subjecthierarchical intervention network-
dc.subjectinternational collaboration-
dc.titleGlobal COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.emailSong, Y: ymsong@hku.hk-
dc.description.naturepublished_or_final_version-
dc.identifier.doi10.1073/pnas.2012002117-
dc.identifier.pmid32989148-
dc.identifier.pmcidPMC7585010-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85093842537-
dc.identifier.hkuros318543-
dc.identifier.volume117-
dc.identifier.issue42-
dc.identifier.spage26151-
dc.identifier.epage26157-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000580597300032-
dc.publisher.placeUnited States-
dc.identifier.issnl0027-8424-

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