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Article: The clinical course of chronic periodontitis: V. Predictive factors in periodontal disease

TitleThe clinical course of chronic periodontitis: V. Predictive factors in periodontal disease
Authors
KeywordsAge
Ante-dependence model
Calculus
Disease progression
Gingivitis
Initial periodontitis
Prediction
Smoking
Issue Date2009
PublisherBlackwell Munksgaard. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journals/CPE
Citation
Journal Of Clinical Periodontology, 2009, v. 36 n. 5, p. 365-371 How to Cite?
AbstractSchätzle M, Faddy MJ, Cullinan MP, Seymour GJ, Lang NP, Bürgin W, nerud , Boysen H, Löe H. The clinical course of chronic periodontitis: V. Predictive factors in periodontal disease. J Clin Periodontol 2009; 36: 365-371. doi: 10.1111j.1600-051X.2009.01391.x. Abstract Background: The factors associated with initial periodontitis are not well understood and cannot be identified by cross-sectional studies. Aim: To identify the factors associated with the initiation of chronic periodontitis using ante-dependence modelling. Material and Methods: A 26-year longitudinal study of the natural history of periodontitis served as the basis for the study. In 1969, 565 Norwegian men aged 16-34 years were surveyed. Subsequent surveys were performed in 1971, 1973, 1975, 1981, 1988 and finally in 1995, with 223 remaining subjects. Plaque (PlI), gingival (GI) and calculus indices (CI) and loss of attachment (LoA) were recorded. Ante-dependence modelling using a Markov chain enabled the results of this sequence of examinations to be analysed longitudinally, taking into account serial dependence, describing temporal changes in patients' levels of disease and allowing for both progression and regression between disease categories. Results: With age, the rate of disease regression decreased. Increasing calculus accumulation and smoking increased the rate of disease progression, while increasing GI increased the rate of regression. Conclusions: Increased mean CI and smoking were significant predictive covariates for progression, while increased mean GI and younger age predicted regression of initial periodontitis. © 2009 John Wiley & Sons AS.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/154566
ISSN
2023 Impact Factor: 5.8
2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 2.249
ISI Accession Number ID
References

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorSchätzle, Men_US
dc.contributor.authorFaddy, MJen_US
dc.contributor.authorCullinan, MPen_US
dc.contributor.authorSeymour, GJen_US
dc.contributor.authorLang, NPen_US
dc.contributor.authorBürgin, Wen_US
dc.contributor.authorNerud, Gen_US
dc.contributor.authorBoysen, Hen_US
dc.contributor.authorLöe, Hen_US
dc.date.accessioned2012-08-08T08:26:12Z-
dc.date.available2012-08-08T08:26:12Z-
dc.date.issued2009en_US
dc.identifier.citationJournal Of Clinical Periodontology, 2009, v. 36 n. 5, p. 365-371en_US
dc.identifier.issn0303-6979en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/154566-
dc.description.abstractSchätzle M, Faddy MJ, Cullinan MP, Seymour GJ, Lang NP, Bürgin W, nerud , Boysen H, Löe H. The clinical course of chronic periodontitis: V. Predictive factors in periodontal disease. J Clin Periodontol 2009; 36: 365-371. doi: 10.1111j.1600-051X.2009.01391.x. Abstract Background: The factors associated with initial periodontitis are not well understood and cannot be identified by cross-sectional studies. Aim: To identify the factors associated with the initiation of chronic periodontitis using ante-dependence modelling. Material and Methods: A 26-year longitudinal study of the natural history of periodontitis served as the basis for the study. In 1969, 565 Norwegian men aged 16-34 years were surveyed. Subsequent surveys were performed in 1971, 1973, 1975, 1981, 1988 and finally in 1995, with 223 remaining subjects. Plaque (PlI), gingival (GI) and calculus indices (CI) and loss of attachment (LoA) were recorded. Ante-dependence modelling using a Markov chain enabled the results of this sequence of examinations to be analysed longitudinally, taking into account serial dependence, describing temporal changes in patients' levels of disease and allowing for both progression and regression between disease categories. Results: With age, the rate of disease regression decreased. Increasing calculus accumulation and smoking increased the rate of disease progression, while increasing GI increased the rate of regression. Conclusions: Increased mean CI and smoking were significant predictive covariates for progression, while increased mean GI and younger age predicted regression of initial periodontitis. © 2009 John Wiley & Sons AS.en_US
dc.languageengen_US
dc.publisherBlackwell Munksgaard. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journals/CPEen_US
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Clinical Periodontologyen_US
dc.subjectAge-
dc.subjectAnte-dependence model-
dc.subjectCalculus-
dc.subjectDisease progression-
dc.subjectGingivitis-
dc.subjectInitial periodontitis-
dc.subjectPrediction-
dc.subjectSmoking-
dc.subject.meshAdolescenten_US
dc.subject.meshAdulten_US
dc.subject.meshAge Factorsen_US
dc.subject.meshChronic Periodontitis - Physiopathologyen_US
dc.subject.meshCohort Studiesen_US
dc.subject.meshDental Calculus - Classificationen_US
dc.subject.meshDental Plaque Indexen_US
dc.subject.meshDisease Progressionen_US
dc.subject.meshForecastingen_US
dc.subject.meshHumansen_US
dc.subject.meshLongitudinal Studiesen_US
dc.subject.meshMaleen_US
dc.subject.meshMarkov Chainsen_US
dc.subject.meshModels, Biologicalen_US
dc.subject.meshOral Hygiene Indexen_US
dc.subject.meshPeriodontal Attachment Loss - Classificationen_US
dc.subject.meshPeriodontal Indexen_US
dc.subject.meshPeriodontitis - Physiopathologyen_US
dc.subject.meshRisk Factorsen_US
dc.subject.meshSmokingen_US
dc.subject.meshTime Factorsen_US
dc.subject.meshYoung Adulten_US
dc.titleThe clinical course of chronic periodontitis: V. Predictive factors in periodontal diseaseen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.emailLang, NP:nplang@hkucc.hku.hken_US
dc.identifier.authorityLang, NP=rp00031en_US
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltexten_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/j.1600-051X.2009.01391.xen_US
dc.identifier.pmid19419434-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-64949107112en_US
dc.identifier.hkuros165445-
dc.relation.referenceshttp://www.scopus.com/mlt/select.url?eid=2-s2.0-64949107112&selection=ref&src=s&origin=recordpageen_US
dc.identifier.volume36en_US
dc.identifier.issue5en_US
dc.identifier.spage365en_US
dc.identifier.epage371en_US
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000265223400001-
dc.publisher.placeDenmarken_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridSchätzle, M=6602163648en_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridFaddy, MJ=7003927846en_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridCullinan, MP=7004069335en_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridSeymour, GJ=7102909412en_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridLang, NP=7201577367en_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridBürgin, W=7003413848en_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridNerud, G=26436025500en_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridBoysen, H=7004836295en_US
dc.identifier.scopusauthoridLöe, H=8055073100en_US
dc.identifier.citeulike4362903-
dc.identifier.issnl0303-6979-

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