Planning for open storage of containers in a major international container trade centre: An analysis of Hong Kong development control statistics using probit modelling

Abstract

The authors describe the nature of the planning policies relating to the container industry of Hong Kong, a major international container trade centre, at territorial and district planning levels. Informed by the concepts of transaction costs, the authors attempt to ascertain whether the planning permission system in Hong Kong is promarket, antimarket, or market-neutral with respect to the container industry, and whether the stated statutory district planning policy of permitting and concentrating open storage in specifically designated Open Storage (OS) zones has been followed. A probit model is developed to evaluate 195 sets of nonaggregate and cross-sectional data regarding planning applications to the Town Planning Board for the years 1991 to 1998. The evaluation is conducted in terms of two refutable empirical hypotheses regarding the container industry. The findings suggest that the Hong Kong planning permission mechanism is market neutral towards the container industry and that the statutory district forward planning policy for that industry has not been followed in the development control process.