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Others: Proactive social distancing mitigates COVID-19 outbreaks within a month across 58 mainland China cities

TitleProactive social distancing mitigates COVID-19 outbreaks within a month across 58 mainland China cities
Authors
KeywordsCoronavirus
Epidemiology
Reproduction number
Non-pharmaceutical interventions
Issue Date2020
Citation
medRxiv, 2020, article no. 2020.04.22.20075762 How to Cite?
AbstractIn early 2020, cities across China enacted strict social distancing measures to contain emerging coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreaks. We estimated the speed with which these measures contained community transmission in each of 58 Chinese cities. On average, containment was achieved 7.83 days (SD 6.79 days) after the implementation of social distancing interventions, with an average reduction in the reproduction number (Rt) of 54.3% (SD 17.6%) over that time period. A single day delay in the implementation of social distancing led to a 2.41 (95% CI: 0.97, 3.86) day delay in containment. Swift social distancing interventions may thus achieve rapid containment of newly emerging COVID-19 outbreaks.
DescriptionThis article is a preprint and has not been peer-reviewed. It reports new medical research that has yet to be evaluated and so should not be used to guide clinical practice.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/291174
PubMed Central ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorDu, Z-
dc.contributor.authorXu, X-
dc.contributor.authorWang, L-
dc.contributor.authorFox, SJ-
dc.contributor.authorCowling, BJ-
dc.contributor.authorGalvani, AP-
dc.contributor.authorMeyers, LA-
dc.date.accessioned2020-11-07T13:53:16Z-
dc.date.available2020-11-07T13:53:16Z-
dc.date.issued2020-
dc.identifier.citationmedRxiv, 2020, article no. 2020.04.22.20075762-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/291174-
dc.descriptionThis article is a preprint and has not been peer-reviewed. It reports new medical research that has yet to be evaluated and so should not be used to guide clinical practice.-
dc.description.abstractIn early 2020, cities across China enacted strict social distancing measures to contain emerging coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreaks. We estimated the speed with which these measures contained community transmission in each of 58 Chinese cities. On average, containment was achieved 7.83 days (SD 6.79 days) after the implementation of social distancing interventions, with an average reduction in the reproduction number (Rt) of 54.3% (SD 17.6%) over that time period. A single day delay in the implementation of social distancing led to a 2.41 (95% CI: 0.97, 3.86) day delay in containment. Swift social distancing interventions may thus achieve rapid containment of newly emerging COVID-19 outbreaks.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.relation.ispartofmedRxiv-
dc.rightsThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.-
dc.subjectCoronavirus-
dc.subjectEpidemiology-
dc.subjectReproduction number-
dc.subjectNon-pharmaceutical interventions-
dc.titleProactive social distancing mitigates COVID-19 outbreaks within a month across 58 mainland China cities-
dc.typeOthers-
dc.identifier.emailDu, Z: zwdu@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.emailCowling, BJ: bcowling@hku.hk-
dc.identifier.authorityDu, Z=rp02777-
dc.identifier.authorityCowling, BJ=rp01326-
dc.description.naturepreprint-
dc.identifier.doi10.1101/2020.04.22.20075762-
dc.identifier.pmid32511594-
dc.identifier.pmcidPMC7276021-
dc.identifier.hkuros318627-
dc.identifier.spagearticle no. 2020.04.22.20075762-
dc.identifier.epagearticle no. 2020.04.22.20075762-

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