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Article: Does population control lead to better child quality? Evidence from China's one-child policy enforcement

TitleDoes population control lead to better child quality? Evidence from China's one-child policy enforcement
Authors
KeywordsQuantity-quality trade-off
Child education
Family planning
Issue Date2017
Citation
Journal of Comparative Economics, 2017, v. 45, n. 2, p. 246-260 How to Cite?
AbstractScholarly evidence on the quantity-quality trade-off is mixed in part because of the identification challenge due to endogenous family size. This paper provides new evidence of the causal effect of child quantity on child quality by exploiting regional differences in the enforcement intensity of China's one-child policy (OCP) as an exogenous source of variation in family size. Using the percentage of current mothers of primary childbearing age who gave a higher order birth in 1981, we construct a quantitative indicator of the extent of local violation of the OCP, referred to as the excess fertility rate (EFR). We then use regional differences in EFRs, net differences in pre-existing fertility preferences and socio-economic characteristics, to proxy for regional differences in OCP enforcement intensity. Using micro data from the Chinese Population Censuses, we find that prefectures with stricter enforcement of the OCP have experienced larger declines in family size and also greater improvements in children's education. Despite the evident trade-off between family size and child quality in China, our quantitative estimates suggest that China's OCP makes only a modest contribution to the development of its human capital.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/302195
ISSN
2023 Impact Factor: 2.8
2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 1.504
ISI Accession Number ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorLi, Bingjing-
dc.contributor.authorZhang, Hongliang-
dc.date.accessioned2021-08-30T13:57:59Z-
dc.date.available2021-08-30T13:57:59Z-
dc.date.issued2017-
dc.identifier.citationJournal of Comparative Economics, 2017, v. 45, n. 2, p. 246-260-
dc.identifier.issn0147-5967-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/302195-
dc.description.abstractScholarly evidence on the quantity-quality trade-off is mixed in part because of the identification challenge due to endogenous family size. This paper provides new evidence of the causal effect of child quantity on child quality by exploiting regional differences in the enforcement intensity of China's one-child policy (OCP) as an exogenous source of variation in family size. Using the percentage of current mothers of primary childbearing age who gave a higher order birth in 1981, we construct a quantitative indicator of the extent of local violation of the OCP, referred to as the excess fertility rate (EFR). We then use regional differences in EFRs, net differences in pre-existing fertility preferences and socio-economic characteristics, to proxy for regional differences in OCP enforcement intensity. Using micro data from the Chinese Population Censuses, we find that prefectures with stricter enforcement of the OCP have experienced larger declines in family size and also greater improvements in children's education. Despite the evident trade-off between family size and child quality in China, our quantitative estimates suggest that China's OCP makes only a modest contribution to the development of its human capital.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Comparative Economics-
dc.subjectQuantity-quality trade-off-
dc.subjectChild education-
dc.subjectFamily planning-
dc.titleDoes population control lead to better child quality? Evidence from China's one-child policy enforcement-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jce.2016.09.004-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85000785607-
dc.identifier.volume45-
dc.identifier.issue2-
dc.identifier.spage246-
dc.identifier.epage260-
dc.identifier.eissn1095-7227-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000405260300006-

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