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Article: Urban expansion simulation towards low-carbon development: A case study of Wuhan, China

TitleUrban expansion simulation towards low-carbon development: A case study of Wuhan, China
Authors
KeywordsUrban expansion
Low-carbon development
Cellular automata
Simulation scenarios
Issue Date2020
PublisherElsevier BV. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.journals.elsevier.com/sustainable-cities-and-society/
Citation
Sustainable Cities and Society, 2020, v. 63, p. article no. 102455 How to Cite?
AbstractRapid urbanization causes great changes of carbon metabolism. Current research mainly focuses on carbon consequences of urban expansion projections, but rarely explores how carbon management strategies affect future urban growth trajectories. Here, we propose a hierarchy of low-carbon management strategies and incorporate it into an integrated cellular automata model to obtain sustainable urban development plans. In the hierarchy, a top-down strategy regarding carbon emission reduction is used to adjust future urban land demand, while a bottom-up strategy regarding carbon sequestration conservation of land patches is used to constrain land use conversions. We design four expansion scenarios based on different combinations of the two low-carbon strategies for Wuhan in 2025, including business as usual (BAU), the scenario with top-town strategy (T-UES), the scenario with bottom-up strategy (B-UES), and the scenario with both two strategies (TB-UES). Our results demonstrate that the proposed method can generate promising urban expansion plans with less ecological loss, and promote compact and infilling urban development.
Persistent Identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/305136
ISSN
2023 Impact Factor: 10.5
2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 2.545
ISI Accession Number ID

 

DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorZhang, Y-
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Y-
dc.contributor.authorWang, Y-
dc.contributor.authorLiu, D-
dc.contributor.authorXIA, C-
dc.contributor.authorWang, Z-
dc.contributor.authorWang, H-
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Y-
dc.date.accessioned2021-10-05T02:40:14Z-
dc.date.available2021-10-05T02:40:14Z-
dc.date.issued2020-
dc.identifier.citationSustainable Cities and Society, 2020, v. 63, p. article no. 102455-
dc.identifier.issn2210-6707-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10722/305136-
dc.description.abstractRapid urbanization causes great changes of carbon metabolism. Current research mainly focuses on carbon consequences of urban expansion projections, but rarely explores how carbon management strategies affect future urban growth trajectories. Here, we propose a hierarchy of low-carbon management strategies and incorporate it into an integrated cellular automata model to obtain sustainable urban development plans. In the hierarchy, a top-down strategy regarding carbon emission reduction is used to adjust future urban land demand, while a bottom-up strategy regarding carbon sequestration conservation of land patches is used to constrain land use conversions. We design four expansion scenarios based on different combinations of the two low-carbon strategies for Wuhan in 2025, including business as usual (BAU), the scenario with top-town strategy (T-UES), the scenario with bottom-up strategy (B-UES), and the scenario with both two strategies (TB-UES). Our results demonstrate that the proposed method can generate promising urban expansion plans with less ecological loss, and promote compact and infilling urban development.-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherElsevier BV. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.journals.elsevier.com/sustainable-cities-and-society/-
dc.relation.ispartofSustainable Cities and Society-
dc.subjectUrban expansion-
dc.subjectLow-carbon development-
dc.subjectCellular automata-
dc.subjectSimulation scenarios-
dc.titleUrban expansion simulation towards low-carbon development: A case study of Wuhan, China-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.description.naturelink_to_subscribed_fulltext-
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.scs.2020.102455-
dc.identifier.scopuseid_2-s2.0-85090006325-
dc.identifier.hkuros325997-
dc.identifier.volume63-
dc.identifier.spagearticle no. 102455-
dc.identifier.epagearticle no. 102455-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000580580900034-
dc.publisher.placeNetherlands-

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