An agent-based framework for high-resolution modeling of domestic water use

Abstract

Many cities have been suffering from severe water deficiency in recent years due to rapid urban expansion, socioeconomic development, population growth, and climate change. Domestic water use plays an important role in the total urban water use. A framework for estimating domestic water use is highly needed to develop adaptive measures for efficient water use under climate change and urbanization. In this study, we developed an agent-based model (ABM) with two groups of agents to estimate the domestic water use. These two groups include the government agent that determines the income growth rate, adjusts water prices, and promotes water-efficient appliances, and the residential agents who consume water. To better capture the impact of urbanization and climate change on water use, the utility function of residential agents was further divided into base water use related to economic condition and seasonal water use that is sensitive to climate conditions. Moreover, a bass diffusion model was proposed and integrated into the ABM to consider the diffusion of water-efficient appliances. Results show that our ABM can capture the spatiotemporal pattern of domestic water use in different regions. Residents in the central urban area consume more water compared to residents in the suburbs in the study cities in China, but it is opposite in the study counties in the US. The growth of income and water-efficient appliances are two factors affecting domestic water use. The proposed modeling framework is transferrable to other regions to develop strategies for mitigating domestic water use.