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- Publisher Website: 10.1007/s11113-015-9379-4
- Scopus: eid_2-s2.0-84955385796
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Article: Age-Specific Variation in Adult Mortality Rates in Developed Countries
Title | Age-Specific Variation in Adult Mortality Rates in Developed Countries |
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Authors | |
Keywords | Aging Epidemiologic transition Hierarchical age-period-cohort—variance function regression model Mortality rate Mortality selection Mortality variation |
Issue Date | 2016 |
Citation | Population Research and Policy Review, 2016, v. 35, n. 1, p. 49-71 How to Cite? |
Abstract | This paper investigates historical changes in both single-year-of-age adult mortality rates and variation of the single-year mortality rates around expected values within age intervals over the past two centuries in 15 developed countries. We apply an integrated hierarchical age-period-cohort—variance function regression model to data from the human mortality database. We find increasing variation of the single-year rates within broader age intervals over the life course for all countries, but the increasing variation slows down at age 90 and then increases again after age 100 for some countries; the variation significantly declined across cohorts born after the early 20th century; and the variation continuously declined over much of the last two centuries but has substantially increased since 1980. Our further analysis finds the recent increases in mortality variation are not due to increasing proportions of older adults in the population, trends in mortality rates, or disproportionate delays in deaths from degenerative and man-made diseases, but rather due to increasing variations in young and middle-age adults. |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/334413 |
ISSN | 2023 Impact Factor: 2.6 2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 0.850 |
ISI Accession Number ID |
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Zheng, Hui | - |
dc.contributor.author | Yang, Y. Claire | - |
dc.contributor.author | Land, Kenneth C. | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-10-20T06:47:58Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2023-10-20T06:47:58Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2016 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Population Research and Policy Review, 2016, v. 35, n. 1, p. 49-71 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 0167-5923 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/334413 | - |
dc.description.abstract | This paper investigates historical changes in both single-year-of-age adult mortality rates and variation of the single-year mortality rates around expected values within age intervals over the past two centuries in 15 developed countries. We apply an integrated hierarchical age-period-cohort—variance function regression model to data from the human mortality database. We find increasing variation of the single-year rates within broader age intervals over the life course for all countries, but the increasing variation slows down at age 90 and then increases again after age 100 for some countries; the variation significantly declined across cohorts born after the early 20th century; and the variation continuously declined over much of the last two centuries but has substantially increased since 1980. Our further analysis finds the recent increases in mortality variation are not due to increasing proportions of older adults in the population, trends in mortality rates, or disproportionate delays in deaths from degenerative and man-made diseases, but rather due to increasing variations in young and middle-age adults. | - |
dc.language | eng | - |
dc.relation.ispartof | Population Research and Policy Review | - |
dc.subject | Aging | - |
dc.subject | Epidemiologic transition | - |
dc.subject | Hierarchical age-period-cohort—variance function regression model | - |
dc.subject | Mortality rate | - |
dc.subject | Mortality selection | - |
dc.subject | Mortality variation | - |
dc.title | Age-Specific Variation in Adult Mortality Rates in Developed Countries | - |
dc.type | Article | - |
dc.description.nature | link_to_subscribed_fulltext | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1007/s11113-015-9379-4 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-84955385796 | - |
dc.identifier.volume | 35 | - |
dc.identifier.issue | 1 | - |
dc.identifier.spage | 49 | - |
dc.identifier.epage | 71 | - |
dc.identifier.eissn | 1573-7829 | - |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:000374106800003 | - |