Long-Term Blood Pressure Variability and Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Survivors of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) are at increased risk for major adverse cardiovascular and cerebro-vascular events (MACCE), in the form of recurrent stroke and myocardial Infarction. We investigated whether long-term blood pressure (BP) variability represents a risk factor for MACCE after ICH, independent of average BP. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed data from prospective ICH cohort studies at Massachusetts General Hospital and the University of Hong Kong. We captured long-term (ie, visit-to-visit) BP variability, quantified as individual participants’ varia-tion coefficient. We explored determinants of systolic and diastolic BP variability and generated survival analyses models to explore their association with MACCE. Among 1828 survivors of ICH followed for a median of 46.2 months we identified 166 with recurrent ICH, 68 with ischemic strokes, and 69 with myocardial infarction. Black (coefficient +3.8, SE 1.3) and Asian (co-efficient +2.2, SE 0.4) participants displayed higher BP variability. Long-term systolic BP variability was independently associated with recurrent ICH (subhazard ratio [SHR], 1.82; 95% CI, 1.19–2.79), ischemic stroke (SHR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.06–2.47), and myocardial infarction (SHR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.05–2.24). Average BP during follow-up did not modify the association between long-term systolic BP variability and MACCE. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term BP variability is a potent risk factor for recurrent hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction after ICH, even among survivors with well-controlled hypertension. Our findings support the hypothesis that combined control of average BP and its variability after ICH is required to minimize incidence of MACCE.