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- Publisher Website: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102833
- Scopus: eid_2-s2.0-85123982135
- WOS: WOS:000772292600013
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Article: The effect of air pollution on migration: Evidence from China
Title | The effect of air pollution on migration: Evidence from China |
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Authors | |
Keywords | Air pollution Avoidance behavior Human capital Migration |
Issue Date | 1-May-2022 |
Publisher | Elsevier |
Citation | Journal of Development Economics, 2022, v. 156 How to Cite? |
Abstract | This paper looks at the effects of air pollution on migration in China using changes in the average strength of thermal inversions over five-year periods as a source of exogenous variation for medium-run air pollution levels. Our findings suggest that air pollution is responsible for large changes in inflows and outflows of migration in China. Specifically, we find that a 10 percent increase in air pollution, holding everything else constant, is capable of reducing population through net outmigration by about 2.8 percent in a given county. We find that these inflows are primarily driven by well-educated people at the beginning of their professional careers. We also find a strong gender asymmetry in the response of mid-age adults that suggests families are splitting across counties to protect vulnerable members of the household. Our results are robust to different specifications, including a spatial lag model that accounts for localized migration spillovers and spatially correlated pollution shocks. |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/337520 |
ISSN | 2023 Impact Factor: 5.1 2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 3.737 |
ISI Accession Number ID |
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Chen, S | - |
dc.contributor.author | Oliva, P | - |
dc.contributor.author | Zhang, P | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-03-11T10:21:32Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2024-03-11T10:21:32Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2022-05-01 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Journal of Development Economics, 2022, v. 156 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 0304-3878 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/337520 | - |
dc.description.abstract | This paper looks at the effects of air pollution on migration in China using changes in the average strength of thermal inversions over five-year periods as a source of exogenous variation for medium-run air pollution levels. Our findings suggest that air pollution is responsible for large changes in inflows and outflows of migration in China. Specifically, we find that a 10 percent increase in air pollution, holding everything else constant, is capable of reducing population through net outmigration by about 2.8 percent in a given county. We find that these inflows are primarily driven by well-educated people at the beginning of their professional careers. We also find a strong gender asymmetry in the response of mid-age adults that suggests families are splitting across counties to protect vulnerable members of the household. Our results are robust to different specifications, including a spatial lag model that accounts for localized migration spillovers and spatially correlated pollution shocks. | - |
dc.language | eng | - |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | - |
dc.relation.ispartof | Journal of Development Economics | - |
dc.rights | This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. | - |
dc.subject | Air pollution | - |
dc.subject | Avoidance behavior | - |
dc.subject | Human capital | - |
dc.subject | Migration | - |
dc.title | The effect of air pollution on migration: Evidence from China | - |
dc.type | Article | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102833 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-85123982135 | - |
dc.identifier.volume | 156 | - |
dc.identifier.eissn | 1872-6089 | - |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:000772292600013 | - |
dc.identifier.issnl | 0304-3878 | - |