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Conference Paper: Application of artificial neural networks in sales forecasting
Title | Application of artificial neural networks in sales forecasting |
---|---|
Authors | |
Keywords | Sales Forecasting Artificial Neural Networks Back-propagation Genetic Algorithms |
Issue Date | 1997 |
Publisher | IEEE. |
Citation | International Conference on Neural Networks Proceedings, Houston, USA, 9-12 June 1997, v. 4, p. 2121-2124 How to Cite? |
Abstract | The aim of the work presented in this paper is to forecast sales volumes as accurately as possible and as far into the future as possible. The choice of network topology was Silva's adaptive backpropagation algorithm and the network architectures were selected by genetic algorithms (GAs). The networks were trained to forecast from 1 month to 6 months in advance and the performance of the network was tested after training. The test results of artificial neural networks (ANNs) are compared with the time series smoothing methods of forecasting using several measures of accuracy. The outcome of the comparison proved that the ANNs generally perform better than the time series smoothing methods of forecasting. Further recommendations resulting from this paper are presented |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/46579 |
ISSN |
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Yip, DHF | en_HK |
dc.contributor.author | Hines, EL | en_HK |
dc.contributor.author | Yu, WWH | en_HK |
dc.date.accessioned | 2007-10-30T06:53:20Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2007-10-30T06:53:20Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 1997 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.citation | International Conference on Neural Networks Proceedings, Houston, USA, 9-12 June 1997, v. 4, p. 2121-2124 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.issn | 1098-7576 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/46579 | - |
dc.description.abstract | The aim of the work presented in this paper is to forecast sales volumes as accurately as possible and as far into the future as possible. The choice of network topology was Silva's adaptive backpropagation algorithm and the network architectures were selected by genetic algorithms (GAs). The networks were trained to forecast from 1 month to 6 months in advance and the performance of the network was tested after training. The test results of artificial neural networks (ANNs) are compared with the time series smoothing methods of forecasting using several measures of accuracy. The outcome of the comparison proved that the ANNs generally perform better than the time series smoothing methods of forecasting. Further recommendations resulting from this paper are presented | en_HK |
dc.format.extent | 403953 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 1774 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 3380 bytes | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | text/plain | - |
dc.format.mimetype | text/plain | - |
dc.language | eng | en_HK |
dc.publisher | IEEE. | en_HK |
dc.rights | ©1997 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to reprint/republish this material for advertising or promotional purposes or for creating new collective works for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or to reuse any copyrighted component of this work in other works must be obtained from the IEEE. | - |
dc.subject | Sales Forecasting | en_HK |
dc.subject | Artificial Neural Networks | en_HK |
dc.subject | Back-propagation | en_HK |
dc.subject | Genetic Algorithms | en_HK |
dc.title | Application of artificial neural networks in sales forecasting | en_HK |
dc.type | Conference_Paper | en_HK |
dc.identifier.openurl | http://library.hku.hk:4550/resserv?sid=HKU:IR&issn=1098-7576&volume=4&spage=2121&epage=2124&date=1997&atitle=Application+of+artificial+neural+networks+in+sales+forecasting | en_HK |
dc.description.nature | published_or_final_version | en_HK |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1109/ICNN.1997.614233 | en_HK |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-0030714368 | - |
dc.identifier.hkuros | 29101 | - |
dc.identifier.issnl | 1098-7576 | - |