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- Publisher Website: 10.1111/nyas.14335
- Scopus: eid_2-s2.0-85088676184
- PMID: 32223020
- WOS: WOS:000521848500001
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Article: Hydrological cycle changes under global warming and their effects on multiscale climate variability
Title | Hydrological cycle changes under global warming and their effects on multiscale climate variability |
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Authors | |
Keywords | global warming climate change hydrological cycle climate variability trend uncertainty |
Issue Date | 2020 |
Publisher | Wiley-Blackwell Publishing, Inc. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0077-8923&site=1 |
Citation | Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2020, v. 1472 n. 1, p. 21-48 How to Cite? |
Abstract | Despite a globally uniform increase in the concentrations of emitted greenhouse gases, radiatively forced surface warming can have significant spatial variations. These define warming patterns that depend on preexisting climate states and through atmospheric and oceanic dynamics can drive changes of the hydrological cycle with global‐scale feedbacks. Our study reviews research progress on the hydrological cycle changes and their effects on multiscale climate variability. Overall, interannual variability is expected to become stronger in the Pacific and Indian Oceans and weaker in the Atlantic. Global monsoon rainfall is projected to increase and the wet season to lengthen despite a slowdown of atmospheric circulation. Strong variations among monsoon regions are likely to emerge, depending on surface conditions such as orography and land–sea contrast. Interdecadal climate variability is expected to modulate the globally averaged surface temperature change with pronounced anomalies in the polar and equatorial regions, leading to prolonged periods of enhanced or reduced warming. It is emphasized that advanced global observations, regional simulations, and process‐level investigations are essential for improvements in understanding, predicting, and projecting the modes of climate variability, monsoon sensitivity, and energetic fluctuations in a warming climate. |
Persistent Identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/287751 |
ISSN | 2023 Impact Factor: 4.1 2023 SCImago Journal Rankings: 1.416 |
ISI Accession Number ID |
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Ma, J | - |
dc.contributor.author | Zhou, L | - |
dc.contributor.author | Foltz, GR | - |
dc.contributor.author | Qu, X | - |
dc.contributor.author | Ying, J | - |
dc.contributor.author | Tokinaga, H | - |
dc.contributor.author | Mechoso, CR | - |
dc.contributor.author | Li, J | - |
dc.contributor.author | Gu, X | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-10-05T12:02:44Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2020-10-05T12:02:44Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2020 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2020, v. 1472 n. 1, p. 21-48 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 0077-8923 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10722/287751 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Despite a globally uniform increase in the concentrations of emitted greenhouse gases, radiatively forced surface warming can have significant spatial variations. These define warming patterns that depend on preexisting climate states and through atmospheric and oceanic dynamics can drive changes of the hydrological cycle with global‐scale feedbacks. Our study reviews research progress on the hydrological cycle changes and their effects on multiscale climate variability. Overall, interannual variability is expected to become stronger in the Pacific and Indian Oceans and weaker in the Atlantic. Global monsoon rainfall is projected to increase and the wet season to lengthen despite a slowdown of atmospheric circulation. Strong variations among monsoon regions are likely to emerge, depending on surface conditions such as orography and land–sea contrast. Interdecadal climate variability is expected to modulate the globally averaged surface temperature change with pronounced anomalies in the polar and equatorial regions, leading to prolonged periods of enhanced or reduced warming. It is emphasized that advanced global observations, regional simulations, and process‐level investigations are essential for improvements in understanding, predicting, and projecting the modes of climate variability, monsoon sensitivity, and energetic fluctuations in a warming climate. | - |
dc.language | eng | - |
dc.publisher | Wiley-Blackwell Publishing, Inc. The Journal's web site is located at http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0077-8923&site=1 | - |
dc.relation.ispartof | Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences | - |
dc.rights | Preprint This is the pre-peer reviewed version of the following article: [FULL CITE], which has been published in final form at [Link to final article using the DOI]. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions. Postprint This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: [FULL CITE], which has been published in final form at [Link to final article using the DOI]. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions. | - |
dc.subject | global warming | - |
dc.subject | climate change | - |
dc.subject | hydrological cycle | - |
dc.subject | climate variability | - |
dc.subject | trend uncertainty | - |
dc.title | Hydrological cycle changes under global warming and their effects on multiscale climate variability | - |
dc.type | Article | - |
dc.identifier.email | Li, J: jinbao@hku.hk | - |
dc.identifier.authority | Li, J=rp01699 | - |
dc.description.nature | link_to_subscribed_fulltext | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1111/nyas.14335 | - |
dc.identifier.pmid | 32223020 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | eid_2-s2.0-85088676184 | - |
dc.identifier.hkuros | 314894 | - |
dc.identifier.volume | 1472 | - |
dc.identifier.issue | 1 | - |
dc.identifier.spage | 21 | - |
dc.identifier.epage | 48 | - |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:000521848500001 | - |
dc.publisher.place | United States | - |
dc.identifier.issnl | 0077-8923 | - |